54 pages 1-hour read

Chances Are . . .

Fiction | Novel | Adult | Published in 2017

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Chapter 18Chapter Summaries & Analyses

Content Warning: This section of the guide includes discussion of graphic violence, sexual abuse, illness, and suicidal ideation.

Chapter 18 Summary: “Mickey”

In the present, Mickey sits alone on the deck of the Chilmark house, reflecting on a lifetime of violence and lies. When Lincoln and Teddy return from the hospital with Teddy bandaged from his eye injury, Lincoln erupts in fury and grabs Mickey by the throat, accusing him of killing Jacy and hiding her body. The confrontation is suddenly interrupted by the appearance of the purple-haired singer, whose name is Delia; she reveals herself to be Mickey and Jacy’s daughter.


Mickey’s revelation unfolds through extensive flashbacks to 1971, when he secretly met Jacy after the conclusion of the fateful Memorial Day weekend in which she broke her engagement to Vance. During her meeting with Mickey, she disclosed devastating truths about her life: that Donald Calloway was not her biological father and that he had been sexually abusing her for years. She also revealed that her biological father, Andres “Andy” Demopoulos, was a Greek immigrant who had died of complications due to a disorder called cerebellar ataxia, in which the patient experiences grievous loss of motor function. Jacy’s mother, Vivian, had been complicit in the family’s deceptions, hiding the truth of Jacy’s origins and knowingly allowing Donald’s sexual abuse of Jacy to continue. Additionally, Donald was involved in financial crimes. After learning of Andy’s identity and tragic death, Jacy contemplated death by suicide but was interrupted by Teddy’s call, in which he invited her to the Vineyard for Memorial Day. Abandoning all thought of suicide, she formulated a new plan. She stole cash from Donald’s safe, gave it to Mickey, and convinced him to flee with her to Canada so that she could escape her abusive life while he escaped the war.


In the present, Mickey offers a photograph of Andy Demopoulos as proof of his story. The revelation exposes the secrets that have haunted all the characters for decades, showing that Jacy’s desperate need to escape Donald and Vivian’s abuse fueled the events of 1971.

Chapter 18 Analysis

Russo structures this pivotal chapter as a confessional narrative and employs multiple temporal layers to reveal the novel’s central mystery. The chapter opens in the present moment with Mickey alone on the deck, then shifts to his confrontation with Lincoln and Teddy before plunging into extensive flashbacks to 1971. This nested structure mirrors the archaeological nature of memory and truth-telling, for each layer of revelation exposes deeper, more complex realities. The confessional format also allows Russo to suggest that the act of revealing long-buried secrets transforms both the listener’s understanding and the confessor’s relationship to his own past. In this crucial scene, Mickey’s long-delayed honesty becomes a study in the weight of carried secrets, demonstrating that the suppression of the truth can become a unique form of imprisonment.


Thus, the motif of secrets and hidden truths is revealed as the primary motive force of the chapter, and as Mickey explicitly reflects upon the fact that one small lie led to an endless chain of lies and eventually distorted his entire identity and existence, the narrative demonstrates that concealment itself becomes an endless cycle. Mickey’s confession exposes Jacy’s fate and reveals the interconnected web of deceptions that have defined the friends’ lives for decades. As Lincoln and Teddy finally learn of Donald Calloway’s sexual abuse, the complicity of Jacy’s mother, and the systematic erasure of Andy’s existence, these revelations create a cascade effect that dissolves the air of mystery surrounding Jacy’s motivations even as it intensifies the friends’ unresolved grief over her loss.


This harsh bout of truth-telling also accentuates the novel’s focus on The Unknowable Past and the Fallibility of Memory in that none of the characters possessed complete knowledge of the events that shaped their lives. Mickey’s long-held secret demonstrates that individual memories become distorted when they are filtered through the murky layers of guilt, shame, and passing time. Notably, the three friends’ shared memories of the 1971 weekend are fundamentally incomplete, as Mickey’s long silence has deprived Lincoln and Teddy of the crucial context that would have made Jacy’s actions comprehensible. As the men come to terms with all that they were never able to understand, the chapter suggests that memory is a collective entity that takes its shape from what communities choose to remember, forget, or actively suppress.


As Mickey finally comes clean about his past, his relationship with violence exemplifies the theme of Defining Masculinity Through Class and Character, particularly when he relates the power of his father’s influence. His contrasting experiences of hitting Troyer and of beating Donald Calloway reveal the moral complexity inherent in masculine expressions of power. The violence against Troyer gives Mickey the satisfaction of defending Jacy’s honor, while the assault on Donald, despite being morally justified, feels like a “distasteful duty” (221) to Mickey. His anguished confession of these past events reveals that the burden of keeping Jacy’s secret has conflicted with his fundamental sense of loyalty to his friends, creating an internal struggle between competing masculine ideals of protection and honesty.

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