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Two dairy farms thousands of miles apart, Huls Farm and Gardar Farm, have been the most successful in their respective regions. Huls Farm is thriving and growing, while Gardar Farm collapsed 500 years ago in Greenland. Some of the mistakes made by its Viking settlers are being repeated in Montana, in the United States, where Huls Farm is located. Success can sometimes mask serious weaknesses in a society; collapse can occur on the heels of great prosperity.
To Diamond, collapse is not a mere decline in a society’s fortunes but “a drastic decrease in human population size and/or political/economic/social complexity, over a considerable area, for an extended time” (3). Major civilizations have collapsed in the past, including the Mayans, Minoans, Angkor Wat, and Easter Island, leaving behind only monumental ruins.
One of the main causes of collapse in the past was mismanagement of the local environment, leading to ecological suicide, or “ecocide.” Eight types of damage were common: “deforestation and habitat destruction, soil problems […], water management problems, overhunting, overfishing, effects of introduced species on native species, human population growth, and increased per-capita impact of people” (6).
A successful society’s population tends to increase, which puts pressure on local resources until over-farming, over-fishing, water misuse, and related effects of overcrowding on fragile ecosystems lead to resource shortages, wars, starvation, and disease. The people die or leave.
Modern societies face these risks and four new ones: climate change, toxic chemicals, energy shortages, and land-use competition with living plants’ photosynthetic potential.
Some scholars assert that the idea that ancestors of today’s indigenous peoples mishandled their environments is racist clap-trap. Many people insist that the ancients did ruin their environment, and that their descendants are equally bad at resource management. The truth is that taking care of an environment has always been a difficult project, and that many different peoples—including Europeans—have mismanaged their surroundings: “Any people can fall into the trap of overexploiting environmental resources” (9).
Some activists insist that ancient cultures were environmentally aware and lived in harmony with their surroundings, and that therefore their descendants should be treated respectfully. In fact, many old cultures did abuse their environments, but this doesn’t imply that their descendants should therefore be treated disrespectfully.
Though environmental problems contributed to most collapses, they are never the sole cause and sometimes aren’t a cause at all. Five factors influence collapse: damage to the environment, variations in climate, hostile neighbors, wavering trade partners, and societal adaptability, or lack thereof, to stresses. Often a civilization’s military defeat stems from decades of overworking its environment.
As a World Wildlife Fund official, Diamond works with large extractive industries to minimize the damage they cause to local environments. He frankly criticizes companies that neglect their locales but notes that some establish stricter regulations than do governments. Environmentalists accuse him of selling out; Diamond replies that refusing to engage with corporations results in failure to solve the problems.
Collapse uses the comparative method of science—looking at the similarities and differences between examples—to tease out the importance of various factors that contribute to the collapse of societies. The book looks at the various ways that environmentally stressed societies have collapsed, considers modern examples of countries suffering from similar issues, and suggests ways to learn from humanity’s mistakes and protect civilizations and their ecosystems.
As a teen Diamond visited Montana with his family. The peaceful grandeur of the Bitterroot Valley—with its surrounding mountains and “big sky”—so enchanted him that he returned during a college summer break to work at Hirschy Ranch. Decades later, haunted by the memory of Montana’s beauty, Diamond finally returned with his young sons, teaching them fly fishing and revisiting the ranch. His wife and sons now go to Montana every year.
The area’s natural beauty draws tourists and residents. Though much less fraught environmentally than most other American regions, Montana still suffers from all 12 classic environmental problems. It is becoming a microcosm of issues confronting the United States: growing population, a stressed environment, and climate change. A study of local Montanans’ motivations and thinking can help explain what happened among ancient peoples before their societies collapsed; it also can disclose the major issues and conflicts that must be resolved before environmental problems can properly be remedied.
Montana agriculture suffers from low rainfall, a short growing season, and long distances to market. Gold and copper mines, along with logging, helped build up the region, but today “the sectors of the economy that are growing nowadays are tourism, recreation, retirement living, and health care” (34).
Montana’s mines unearth copper and “lead, molybdenum, palladium, platinum, zinc, gold, and silver” (35). The waste rock, or tailings, from these operations—including from some 20,000 abandoned mines—contain arsenic, zinc, copper, cadmium, and sulfuric acid, which leach into water and soil and are poisonous to people and animals. Cleanup costs often exceed the mine owners’ ability to pay. Some companies build settling ponds to recondition the tailings; others avoid responsibility. Many sites are repaired with Superfund and state monies. Montanans, lately realizing it would have been cheaper simply to buy ores from Chile and elsewhere, have voted to restrict mining practices.
Anaconda’s open-pit mine at Butte, which spilled toxic metals into the Clark Fork of the Columbia River, was closed in 1983, costing Butte three-fourths of its economic base. Nearby, 6.6 million cubic yards of poisonous sediments collected at the bottom of dangerously decrepit Milltown Dam, and in 1981 high levels of arsenic were found there, putting Missoula’s water supply at risk. The plan is to remove the dam at a cost of $100 million. The Zortman-Landusky Mine, which used cyanide to leach gold from tons of rock, leaked dangerous amounts of the poison; cleanup costs bankrupted the mine.
Logging in Montana often involved clearcutting entire mountains, which caused snows to melt too quickly, reducing water availability; it also damaged local ecosystems and fish populations, and it was ugly. The Clearcut Controversy erupted, and new federal laws restricted the practice; the resultant court cases caused years-long delays, greatly reduced logging, caused massive layoffs, and left deadwood on the hills to feed forest fires. Even dedicated environmentalists now believe the new rules have caused too many problems.
The largest private owner of forests, Plum Creek Timber Company, is caught in the same kind of political and economic crossfire as that experienced by mining operations. In both cases, only new laws governing corporate responsibility will clarify the issues. The high-and-dry Montana environment makes for slow tree growth; they take twice as many decades to reach maturity there as do trees in Southeastern forests. Plum Creek now focuses on developing its lands as real estate.
Logging practices and federal fire-suppression rules tend to leave hillsides more liable to fire; climate change adds hotter, drier summers to the mix. Lightning strikes once cleaned out the understory tinder, leaving large trees to thrive; in today’s overgrown forests, fires are now bigger and more often out-of-control. Removing the undergrowth in Western forests would cost $100 billion. People like dense forests, yet residents expect the government to save their homes from the resulting fires. Unfortunately, fighting huge conflagrations can cost more than a billion dollars a year.
Montana soils suffer erosion from overgrazing, overlogging, overplanting, devastating fires, and noxious weed infestations. Clearing of native vegetation, leaving agricultural land fallow, can cause saline creep, the leaching of salts from bedrock by rainwater that then flows downhill onto nearby farmland. Salinization also has led to the decline of major agricultural areas in Turkey, India, Australia, and the Fertile Crescent regions of Iraq and Syria.
New practices can help, like using shorter fallow periods, sowing salt-tolerant crops, and raising alfalfa and other thirsty plants that suck up bedrock water. Pumping water from coal beds causes methane to leak out for capture and use, but the water contains salts that can damage soil downstream.
Drought from climate change has caused loss of farmland in Eastern Montana and nearby in Canada. Snow runoff has slackened—Glacier National Park will have lost all 150 of its glaciers by 2030—and the Bitterroot aquifer has diminished, reducing available well water. Many dams are no longer properly maintained in districts converted to housing; court disputes over water rights and maintenance costs have ballooned.
Fish populations lately suffer from less stream water, more sediment, voracious non-native fish, and parasites. Chronic wasting disease, the “mad cow disease” of deer and elk, has devastated those herds. Introduced plants and weeds, especially Leafy Spurge and Spotted Knapweed, are inedible to livestock, deer, and elk, and crowd out natural fodder.
Partly for these reasons, Montana has declined from one of the wealthiest states to one of the poorest. Newcomers with money buy up property and isolate themselves, while old-timers argue with each other about how to fix the problems. It’s not that some Montanans are selfishly despoiling the land, but that residents hold clashing views on how to resolve the issues.
As Montana agriculture becomes too expensive, farmland converts to subdivisions for those who move to the state for its natural beauty and recreation. Many longtime residents can no longer afford to live where they work. Traditionally conservative, Montanans now want government intervention to protect their farms from conversion to housing.
Farmers are modernizing with new technology to stay in business, but new residents often resent the sounds, smells, and noises of farming and campaign for restrictions. Montana’s children tend to leave for other states. Without out-of-state income streams and federal transfer payments, Montana’s economy would already have collapsed.
A society’s over-exploited environment endures a prolonged drought; enemy neighbors move in for the kill, friendly traders shy away, and the society’s rigid rules prevent it from adapting. The result: a catastrophic collapse.
Jared Diamond’s book Collapse warns that the above scenario happened repeatedly in the past, not from ancient ignorance but because of systemic societal problems that persist even today. If anything, environmental stressors on modern nations are worse than in the past. The issue is more urgent than ever.
Underlying past and present environmental threats is the historical advance in agricultural technology, which leads to increased population and increased stress on the environment, resulting finally in an ecological failure and a massive dieback in population through starvation. This scenario, predicted by Thomas Malthus more than 200 years ago and known today as the “Malthusian trap,” plays out in today’s periodic local famines despite technological improvements that, optimists argue, ought to feed everyone.
Unfortunately, that same technology, growing relentlessly in power, increases also in its ability to cause environmental damage. The race between the so-called “green revolution” in farming that feeds billions, on the one hand, and environmental degradation that risks billions, on the other, is still in doubt. Whether modern nations will fare any better than their ancient predecessors remains to be seen.
Diamond is criticized as a doom-and-gloom environmentalist who only cares about birds, while at the same time he’s pilloried for selling out to the big corporations he negotiates with as a director of the World Wildlife Fund. Diamond considers himself middle-of-the-road, focused on doing whatever he can to help societies reckon with the consequences of their environmental mistakes.
Usually someone who takes a centrist view in a controversy is maligned by both sides. Diamond would prefer that all interested parties work together to solve these problems instead of wasting precious time and energy on blaming and denying. This could just as easily be a symptom, not of rashness or duplicity but of open-mindedness and balanced thinking. Throughout Collapse, Diamond gives examples, especially in Chapter 15, of cooperation that resolves dilemmas.
Diamond chooses Montana as his introductory example of modern environmental problems in part because he knows and loves the region and fears for its future. Montana is remote and somewhat isolated, with a small population and noted natural beauty. It might seem the last place in America to cite as an example of environmental problems; indeed, many regions elsewhere in the country suffer significantly more damage. Diamond’s point is that pristine locales in today’s most modern nations can hide dangerously weakened environments.
Montana’s sparse citizenry and distant beauty can be compared to areas of the American Southwest and islands in the East Pacific, where small populations wreaked havoc on beautiful-but-isolated ecosystems, causing tragic collapses.
Montana is taking steps toward repair. Milltown Dam, for example, was removed, its sediments transported upstream to a repository and the dam area restored to a more natural state. This and other remediation efforts are paid for partly through taxes instead of entirely by the mining companies. For one thing, Old West governments deliberately encouraged mining, giving prospectors a pass on pollution to kick-start settlement; in that respect, the public at large must pick up part of the tab for the early official laxity.
For another, it’s hard to get dead people to pay for damage they caused 100 years ago—and, as the book explains in Chapter 15, most mining operations are broke or nearly so, and they fight tooth-and-nail in the courts to avoid enormous judgments that would sink them. For better or worse, the public will eventually pay much of the costs.
Montana could suffer enough ecological stress to cause crises that ripple throughout neighboring regions. Too many stresses and the US system of interdependent states might crumble, causing widespread environmental, economic, and societal disasters.



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