32 pages 1-hour read

Field Notes from a Catastrophe

Nonfiction | Book | Adult | Published in 2006

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Themes

Destruction of Habitats

Kolbert explores the problem of climate change from several different angles. Most of these, such as the rerouting of ocean currents, melting glaciers, and overall global warming have the potential to destroy habitats and displace populations: “In 1979, the satellite data show, perennial sea ice is covered 1,700,000,000 acres, or an area nearly the size of the continental United States […] Since then the overall trend has been strongly downward” (26). Beginning with the population of Shishmaref, Alaska, Kolbert tours the habitats affected by climate change across the world. As permafrost at the poles begins to melt, she shows in Chapters 1 and 3, carbon dioxide and methane stores within it are released into the atmosphere. Global warming risks turning this into a self-perpetuating cycle.


In Chapter 4, Kolbert takes a different approach, tracking the migration of butterfly species, and observing the alterations to the hibernation habits of mosquitoes. Positioning the climate crisis within a well-known contextual framework, Kolbert references Charles Darwin’s theory of natural selection. She concludes that all biological species are under threat if natural ecosystems continue to be disrupted. Should her readers resist the idea of being subject to natural selection, Kolbert reminds them in Chapter 5 that human civilizations have been wiped out by climate change in the past. Examples include the Akkadian kingdom, as well as Classic Mayan and Egyptian civilizations.


In places such as the Netherlands, innovators have already begun to adapt to the destruction of habitats by developing amphibious houses. Human ingenuity has resulted in vast population growth in recent centuries. Yet climate change may be unique in being a problem that is produced and faced by humanity as a whole. Kolbert shows that the potential impacts of climate change on human life are diverse and unpredictable. For instance, the ecosystems and food sources upon which humans rely are likely to be disrupted by climate change. Thus, it is not only other species or the dinosaurs who are threatened with extinction as a consequence of climate change, but also humanity. Yet in the Anthropocene, it will be mankind that has provoked the destruction of our own habitat. 

Instability Associated With Temperature Volatility

Kolbert opens the book by divulging that Greenland’s ice cores reveal wild vacillation in the earth’s temperature over the past 100,000 years: “The earth, which had been warming rapidly, was plunged back into ice age conditions. It remained frigid for twelve centuries and then warmed again, even more abruptly” (51). Naturally, a book about climate change entails discussion of temperature volatility. Yet Kolbert begins by acknowledging the reality of claims made by climate change detractors. Admittedly, huge swings in climate are a part of the earth’s natural history. Yet Kolbert goes on to show that scientists are in consensus that human intervention is responsible for the rapid change in climate we are currently experiencing: “Most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities,” a 2001 IPCC Report said.


Alternative forms of instability associated with temperature volatility include the unpredictability of climate change impacts. Flooding is one such impact that Kolbert explores: “There are several reasons why global warming produces flooding,” she writes (123). Warm water expands, and weather patterns are also altered by rising temperatures. While Kolbert was writing the book, Hurricane Katrina hit the United States, displacing entire communities and disrupting lives. Some of the most populous places on Earth border on rivers that will become increasingly prone to flooding as temperatures rise. While in the low-lying Netherlands aquatic housing has been designed to solve this problem, other places lack the infrastructure and funding for such strategies. Indeed, developing nations near the equator will endure some of the worst effects of warming temperatures, and already contend with droughts that lead to famine.


Destruction of habitats due to climate instability results in the extinction of species that play a vital role in important ecosystems, including those essential for human life. Biologist Chris Thomas has hypothesized “a quarter of all the terrestrial species might be at risk of extinction from climate change” (87). If this is so, human life will certainly be affected and threatened by increasing climate instability: “We are heading in a direction that, quite fundamentally, we don’t know what the consequences are going to be,” Thomas adds (87). Yet of all the uncertainties involved in modeling climate change, Kolbert argues that the most unpredictable factor yet is the behavior of the human species in the face of these challenges. 

Stabilization Wedges

Princeton professor of engineering Robert Socolow “defined a stabilization wedge as a step that would be sufficient to prevent one billion metric tons of carbon per year and being omitted by 2054” (131). These wedges were one way of compartmentalizing the vast challenge of stabilizing CO2 omissions. At the time of writing, Socolow determined that seven wedges would be required to maintain today’s emissions level. Together with a colleague at Princeton, Stephen Pacala, Socolow devised 15 different wedges, which were published in a 2004 paper. Wedges include emissions-reduction strategies like wind electricity, PV arrays, and “capturing” CO2 from power plants (139).


Naturally, the problem with Socolow’s stabilization wedges is that there is no financial incentive to depart from “business as usual,” which entails continuing to ever-increasing volumes of greenhouse gas to support our ever-growing population. Yet if the instability discussed above is to be curbed, stabilization is necessary. Government and business remain in large part torn between their pressing commercial obligations and the destructive effects these have on the planet. As Kolbert points out, Socolow emphasizes the “social cost” (141) of “business as usual.” Socolow claims that it is not the practicability of the decarbonization strategies available that is the question: “These things can all be done” (141).


Socolow likens the commitment to new strategies to prevent climate change to abolitionism. Marty Hoffert, professor of physics at New York University disagrees with Socolow’s future CO2 modeling. Decarbonization has cut emissions growth as energy supplies have shifted away from coal toward nuclear. As oil and gas supplies are limited, recarbonization is likely, Hoffert claims, increasing the number of wedges required to stabilize our climate. Innovation is therefore essential, by Hoffert’s reckoning. Writing in Science journal, Hoffert claimed that “revolutionary” strategies are required.   

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