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In the successful cases, a mix of “private and public instrumentalities” were used to solve CPR issues (182). This fact upends the prevailing academic assumption that the only way to solve CPR problems is via either privatization or central authority. Since the dominant academic theories make assumptions about the lack of communication among appropriators and their inability to change rules, these theories are not applicable to smaller CPRs. Further study of smaller-scale CPRs is thus needed.
The current theories of collective action are problematic for small CPRs for three reasons. First, they do not reflect the incremental nature of institutional change. Second, they ignore the impact of external political regimes. Third, they do not account for information and transaction costs. The use of nested enterprises is critical to success. In other words, small organizations are formed first, and then larger ones follow.
Individuals are likely to make commitments to abide by rules under certain conditions: if there are clear definitions of who can use the resource, the rules relate to the specifics of the local resource, the rules are designed at least in part by the appropriators themselves, the rules are monitored by the appropriators or those answerable to them, and there are graduated sanctions for violations.
Instead of building a model, Ostrom develops a framework for understanding why some efforts to solve small-scale CPR problems were successful and others were not. A framework enables her to avoid precise predictions. In developing her framework, Ostrom uses a “conception of rational action involving four internal variables—expected benefits, expected costs, internalized norms, and discount rates” (193). For institutional choices, individuals choose between keeping the status quo or changing it. An individual’s choice will be dependent on expected costs, benefits, shared norms, and opportunities. However, it is impossible to predict these precisely because there is often a cost to obtaining this information. Therefore, Ostrom goes beyond these summary variables to situational variables that impact them.
The difficulty of evaluating benefits depends on the number of appropriators, the size of the resource, the variability of resource units over time and space, the current condition of the resource, market conditions, availability of data, amount of past conflict, and knowledge of past and proposed rules. Only the number of appropriators is typically considered, yet information about benefits must be obtained. It is more likely to be obtained if the appropriators have organized into small associations. Information about costs is also impacted by situational variables. Transformation costs are lower and more likely to be accepted if change is done incrementally. If there is local autonomy, these costs are likely to be lower as well. If regional and national authorities must approve them, there is more unpredictability and higher costs. Current institutional choices are affected by past ones. Thus, an incremental change can make a later change possible or not.
Appropriators must also consider monitoring and enforcement costs for new rules. These costs tend to be lower if the appropriators can observe one another naturally when engaged in the use of the resource. Rules that make violations obvious are also cheaper. For example, set dates for the use of a resource are cheaper to enforce than a defined quantity of the resource to be taken. External authorities can hinder enforcement and drive up costs if, for example, they allow others to use the resource. The assessment of costs and benefits will depend on shared norms and expected discount rates. Appropriators who live near one another and interact in other settings are likely to develop “strong norms of acceptable behavior” (206). Those who are entirely dependent on the CPR and expect their children to be so as well are likely to have a lower discount rate than those with other economic opportunities.
There is much uncertainty in the selection of new rules. As a result, CPR situations do not lead necessarily to efficiency. Informed judgments must be made. In such cases, individuals are likely to weigh potential losses more heavily than potential gains. Additionally, individuals are more likely to opt for change if the CPR is in a threatened state. Change is likely to come after years of bad yields versus good ones. People are also likely to pay more attention to immediate costs than long-term ones. As they did in California, appropriators are more likely to support change if there has been a precedent of proposed rules working in similar cases. Communication among appropriators thus facilitates change. If proposed rules are likely to benefit some more than others, there is likely to be a difference of opinion.
Ostrom argues that with an indifferent political regime, appropriators will be likely to adopt institutional changes incrementally, depending on the following six variables listed in order of importance. First, the appropriators believe that they will be harmed without changes. Second, the appropriators are similarly impacted by the rules. Third, the appropriators have low discount rates or highly value the use of the resource. Fourth, appropriators have fairly low transformation, information, and enforcement costs. Fifth, the appropriators share norms. Sixth, and least important, the appropriators are small and stable in membership. Local and regional governments can assist by providing facilities for appropriators to come together. In contrast, when a central regime presumes that it must solve the CPR problem via uniform rules, enforcement is costly, and there is likely to be failure.
It is imperative that academics recognize that one model cannot predict the resolution of all CPR problems. In fact, the models currently in use have the “perverse effect of supporting increased centralization of authority” (216), which is unlikely to work.
Ostrom emphasizes The Flaws of Collective Action Theories in her concluding chapter. Her case studies demonstrate that these theories have failed to predict outcomes in the resolution of small-scale CPRs. Contrary to the assumptions of these theories, there is not one definitive way to resolve such issues. Rather, the local solutions in the case studies varied and most often drew upon a mix of private and public institutions. Given the failure of these traditional theories to explain outcomes in the cases of small-scale CPRs, Ostrom argues that there is a need for the development of a new theory for these cases.
Ostrom ties together The Conditions for Successfully Managing Common Pool Resources and The Importance of Understanding Institutional Change in this chapter, with a special focus on the latter. Unlike traditional theories of collective action, she admits the impossibility of precise predictions with a sole reliance on rational-choice theory. Situational variables impact the determination of rational assessments of estimated costs, benefits, norms, and discount rates. In the real world, people are not perfectly informed and must sometimes pay to get critical information. Multiple factors influence the difficulty of getting information about costs and benefits as well.
In considering new rules, appropriators have to make several assumptions and assess future costs and benefits. Humans are likely to give greater weight to potential losses and immediate costs than to potential gains and long-term costs. The burden of proof is on those proposing change. Unless the status quo has negatively impacted appropriators for some time, they are not likely to change it. That is why those proposing change emphasize catastrophe and threat.
After noting these biases, Ostrom presents her argument about when appropriators will be likely to adopt institutional changes. She lists the variables affecting the decision in order of importance, with the most important factor being a belief among appropriators that they will be harmed without change. Significantly, she gives the number of appropriators the least importance in this calculation. This is because she observes that nesting local organizations within larger ones can result in successful resolutions to CPR problems. Governments have the ability to assist in the resolution of these cases or to undermine local solutions.
Ostrom freely admits that more study is needed in this area. While she uses case studies, both successes and failures, to build her theories, this method is always subject to a critique of incompleteness. By definition, it cannot prove that all such cases would fall into successful or unsuccessful categories based on her design principles. Nevertheless, she establishes a framework for others to apply to more cases: She establishes the principles necessary for the successful management of a small-scale CPR and notes the factors needed for appropriators to change institutional rules to better manage a small-scale CPR.



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