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While the precise nature of the fallout in a typical medieval village can’t be known with precision, piecing together scraps of information from various places and sources can allow historian to construct a useful speculative example. Ziegler imagines a fictional town in the southern England village of Blakwater, a closely-knit community lying about eight miles southwest of the road connecting London and Winchester. This meant that traveling to London was essentially unthinkable and impossible for the average villager.
The poor section of town, Preston Stautney, was composed of about a dozen families, whose greater freedom and reduced responsibility made other villagers envious. The local parish vicar was a kind and considerate man. Architecturally, Blakwater was like any other small village of the time—its only remarkable construction was the stone church at the center of town. Though Blakwater was a few hours off the main road, many travelers would stop by the village. One of these informed the residents of a dreadful plague ravaging the land. Soon, the town priest read a letter from the Bishop, informing the villagers of the disease sweeping rapidly towards them; the townsfolk spent the next few weeks with the hope of averting the catastrophe.
Soon, however, another visitor brought grimmer news: Hundreds were dying in nearby Winchester, and Blakwater could be next. After Christmas in 1348, the plague entered Preston Stautney, and the town council took countermeasures: cutting off the infected part of town and banning travelers from entering the village. It was too late. The town parson was infected and quickly died. The plague spread through the village. In the end, a few dozen died, a handful were infected and survived, and by all accounts the village recovered by the end of the next year. However, the town had suffered grave psychological damage.
The first obstacle to gaining an accurate view of the consequences of the plague is historians’ inability to confirm the exact population of 14th century Europe. In England, for instance, estimates put the population at around 1.25 million in 1086, and 2.5 million in 1377, with a population peak in around 1300. This means that the population had already been declining for almost 50 years before the onset of the plague. Based on the best possible data, England’s population at the time of the plague was around 4.2 million.
The next problem is how to determine the exact number of deaths. Looking at the ecclesiastical records, the most accurate and reliable data of the time, “it is reasonable to assume that something close to 45% of all parish priests died during the plague” (182). A reasonable estimate—taking the 45% death toll of the clergy as the upper limit possible—suggests that one third of the total population died from the plague. This would put the approximate number of dead in England alone at 1.4 million. Mortality rates in the rest of Europe were likely similar.
The loss of one third of a country’s population within the span of less than three years would have been economically devastating. It’s clear that one “must expect to find conspicuous changes in the life of the English community in the years immediately following the Black Death” (187). One of these results was rising resentment between serf and landlord—one desiring higher wages and the other wishing to turn back the clock—that led to the Peasants’ Revolt of 1381. The great turnover in landholding and the organization of society was remarkable; while wages increased, the prices of agricultural products fell due to the great surplus.
In many places, if workers could not get the wages they demanded, they would simply leave to find employment elsewhere. Workers began to see their value, and the economic situation supported their mobility. The balance of power had tipped: Land was now plentiful, while labor was scarce. For landowners, it became far less profitable to work the land under the previous model, so many resorted simply to renting out their land directly. Eventually, the government imposed a freeze to try to check inflation rates rising in the wake of rising wages and prices.
The Black Death took a particularly heavy toll on the educated classes; most academics were older than the average population. A number of universities simply closed for good. One indirect result of this decimation of the intellectual elite is the introduction of the vernacular into academic work and teaching—those who replaced dead faculty did not necessarily have the facility to teach in Latin. In concert with many other economic, political, and social factors, the improved access to knowledge that vernacular teaching brought contributed to the coming Reformation of the 15th and 16th centuries.
Land holdings were also greatly affected. Those who survived were often anxious to sell off tracts of land which they didn’t have the resources to farm; this land and the land of those who had died found its way into the hands of new owners. The famous hedged fields of the English countryside trace their origins back to the Black Death and the redistribution of the land to surviving village tenants. Another indirect effect of the plague was the growth in animal husbandry: Caring for sheep took far less manpower than farming, causing a natural shift in land use.
One of the least affected areas of culture was architecture. While no doubt many skilled and experience masons and artisans died, there is really no evidence that the plague led to a change in style or the ability of survivors to continue their craft.
“Any history of the Black Death which ignores its impact on the minds of its victims would be notably incomplete” (210). Before the Black Death, the influence of the Church was felt in every corner of medieval society. However, after the plague, many Europeans felt that the Church had failed in its ability to care for the community, proving weak and ineffective in a time where the faithful expected them to be persistent in the face of, suffering, and death. While the high mortality of priests was in some part directly due to their work with the infected, there were plenty of reasons to criticize the institutional Church for shirking its duties.
Additionally, many tenets of ecclesiastical law were abandoned or relaxed in the wake of the plague out of necessity—widowers were ordained past the typically allowed age, newly ordained priests were given responsibilities normally reserved for more experience members of the hierarchy, and so on. While almost 50% of vowed religious perished in the two years of the plague, the mendicant Friars, particularly the Dominicans and Franciscans, gained new respect as they traveled from town to town delivering seemingly miraculous spiritual intervention.
Another result of the plague’s effect on religion was the rise of lay spirituality: The Church’s institutional prestige suffered, but there was a sharp increase in chapels and lay-led movements that emphasized personal experience and responsibility. For years, society was characterized by “a neurotic and all-pervading gloom” (223). The artistic expression of the time provides a great window into the general psyche, focusing on themes of suffering, retribution, and the outpouring of divine wrath and judgment. There is no doubt that those who suffered the ravages of the Black Death and lived would feel the effects for the rest of their lives, while the mental and social toll changed the fabric of society for decades and centuries to come.
After a fictional reconstruction of what it may have been like to live in a small English village before, during, and after the advent of the Black Death in the immediate area, Ziegler addresses the aftermath of the plague in Europe. Because record-keeping was limited or absent altogether, historians cannot precisely determine Europe’s population at the time of the plague; this means that estimates of the death toll remain guesswork. The best calculations put the population of England at just over 4 million. Extrapolating data from ecclesiastical death records then suggests that England saw almost 1.5 million dead over a span of two years. On the whole, a reasonable estimate of the mortality rate is shocking and almost incomprehensible—one out of three persons succumbing to the Black Death.
The social and economic consequences of such a radical shift in demographics were unparalleled. Ziegler concentrates on England but suggests that the effects felt there were parallel to those in other European countries. England’s economy plummeted as the labor pool shrank: Workers were able to demand much higher wages for their services, which in turn led to rising prices and subsequent inflation. The situation became so untenable that the government had to impose a total freeze of the economy to keep inflation in check.
Agriculture was the most impacted sector of the economy. One of the more interesting results was the English transition from field crops to sheep herding, which required less supervision and active labor than farming and thus became a financially advantageous way to use the vast open fields.
Culturally, universities underwent a seismic shift. The deaths of a large number of academics and scholars brought in less erudite (though not necessarily less intelligent) replacements, who started teaching and conducting scholarship in the vernacular languages rather than the official Latin lingua franca that had been in place for centuries. This transition increased access to knowledge and education, leading to the Reformation and Enlightenment movements several centuries later.
Society power structures were also transformed. Land ownership increased, as surviving landholders sold off or rented acreage they could not afford to hire workers to farm. This increased the size and thus diluted the power of the landowner class. The institutional Church too lost some of its influence, its public image was tarnished by its inability to curb the plague’s miseries. Faith and spirituality became the province of itinerant movements or lay ministers, whose emphasis on individual responsibility, combined with the general unrest of the population, would eventually contribute to the Protestant Reformation 150 years later.



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