55 pages • 1 hour read
Philip E. Tetlock, Dan GardnerSuperforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Nonfiction | Book | Adult | Published in 2015A modern alternative to SparkNotes and CliffsNotes, SuperSummary offers high-quality Study Guides with detailed chapter summaries and analysis of major themes, characters, and more.
Essay Topics
1.
Why is doubt an essential ingredient in forecasting? What traps do those who do not doubt initial assumptions fall into? Cite at least three specific examples, either from the text or from your imagination.
2.
Why does Nassim Taleb question the value of forecasting? How do the authors respond to his claims? Address the role of paradox in their response.
3.
To what extent do the authors suggest that anyone can be a superforecaster? What limitations might prevent some people from accessing this rank?
