Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment

What are the differences between level, pattern, and occasion noise? In your opinion and with close reference to the text, which types of noise are the most obstructive to good decision-making?

How would you describe the authors’ attitude toward intuition? Why do they advocate delaying it until more objective matters of the case have been considered?

To what extent do the authors show that groups make wiser, less noisy choices than individuals? Which noise issues can arise in group decision-making and how can people deal with these?

Describe the traits of a superforecaster. How does applying these qualities save individuals from the errors made by overconfident predictions of the future?

What are the federal sentencing guidelines and why did they meet with opposition? In your opinion and with close reference to the text, to what extent, if any, do you think sentencing guidelines are a good idea?

To what extent can noise-reducing strategies reduce societal inequity? How can some noise-reduction measures promote outdated values, and what can be done to combat this?

What role does noise play in scientific disciplines such as medicine and forensic science? How and why does variance in judgment appear in these apparently more objective disciplines?

How does taking the statistical view of an organization or an industry help combat noise? Why is it difficult to reduce noise if individuals look at the world in terms of singular events?